價值投資的理論與實務─以巴菲特價值投資為例

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题名:	價值投資的理論與實務─以巴菲特價值投資為例
作者:	劉惠芳;Liu, Huei-Feng
贡献者:	高階主管企管碩士班
关键词:	價值投資法;市場先生;5.3%雪球;Value Investment Law;Mr. Market;5.3%Snowball
日期:	2020-07-06
上传时间:	2020-09-02 17:02:41 (UTC+8)
出版者:	國立中央大學
摘要:	時機不等人、市場不饒人，太平盛世各個是高手，但是浩劫中如何找到明珠或是堅持到底，那心中必須要有所信念才有辦法做到。堅持以價值投資法的巴菲特，並不是在股票市場中計算賣最高或者買最低，他考慮的是公司的價值有多少、買入預期回報有多少及安全邊際有多少，市場先生如果給了不合理價格的機會，更是做出在恐懼中貪婪的抉擇。質化與量化雙並行的價值投資法，一方面可以建立持有的信心，另一方面也清清楚楚未來的航向。隨著「時間」這個好夥伴，向右延伸且無止境，讓公司的價值像雪球般滾動，愈滾愈大，年化報酬率5.3%的魔力，五年後是29%、十年後68%、二十年後181%、三十年後371%…，你的收銀機就像巴菲特家的一樣鏗鏘作響。;Time and Tide wait for no one. Many people can be successful in heyday but very few can recognize the opportunity or carry on during catastrophic times, only if you have faith in yourself. Taking Warren Buffett as example, his value investment model is not based on ′Sell High and Buy Low′ in the stock market. He would consider how much the company is worth, how much revenue is expected, or how much the safe margin will be reached. If Mr. Market provides an opportunity of unreasonable price, people will make greedy choice from their fear. Value investment in both qualitative and quantitative terms, not only help to build up the faith, but also give you a clear vision for where you will head for. Following with your partner of Time, you may extend infinitely, making the company′s value roll like snow ball. The more it rolls and the bigger it becomes. Let′s say, the annualized rate of return is 5.3%. It increased to 29% 5 years later, 68% in 10 years, 181% in 20 years and 371% in 30 years. Your cash register will keep ka-ching as Mr. Buffett′s.
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